Thursday, October 30, 2008

Bradley Effect

Have you heard of the Bradley Effect? The short description is that when polled, Caucasians will claim to be voting for an African-American candidate but when the same Caucasians are in the voting booth with guaranteed anonymity they will actually vote for a Caucasian candidate. The polls are skewed by the "white-guilt" of the responders.

Obama is ahead in the polls. How much of his lead is due to the Bradley Effect?

I also wonder about a form of the Dewey Effect (if you will recall, Dewey though he had won the election due to polls, but the polls were skewed due to the number of people without phones). Since increasing numbers of people are opting to not have a land-line telephone and to only have a cell phone, those individuals are under represented in the polls.

Do the Bradley Effect and the Dewey Effect offset?

Monday, October 27, 2008

O, School of Brotherly Love . . .

Well, it's over. Cascade College is closing at the end of this school year (May 2009). I'm still digesting this information.

If you know of an awesome job for my wife let me know (or her, what-evs).

Wednesday, October 22, 2008

It's bad

It sucks to be a Seattle sports fan right now. A lot.

Seattle Football: 1 - 11 (Huskies and Seahawks)
Seattle Baseball: it was over in August and they haven't been competitive since 2001 or so.
Seattle Basketball: GONE (I'm still bitter and probably will be for a long time).

I just had to complain a bit.

Sunday, October 19, 2008

Too good to not share

From: The Art of Manliness

Manvotional: The American Boy by Theodore Roosevelt

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October 19, 2008

Welcome back! Enjoy your stay, and don't forget to man up!

theodore-roosevelt-193x300 Manvotional: The American Boy by Theodore Roosevelt

In a speech, Roosevelt extolled the manly virtues that every boy and man should develop: hard work, courage, and a disposition to do good. The lack of men of character in the world today makes this speech relevant even today. As fathers or mentors, let us seek to raise up a generation of boys like the one TR describes. As men, let us seek to develop these traits ourselves.

What we have a right to expect of the American boy is that he shall turn out to be a good American man.

The boy can best become a good man by being a good boy–not a goody-goody boy, but just a plain good boy.

I do not mean that he must love only the negative virtues; I mean that he must love the positive virtues also. ‘Good,’ in the largest sense, should include whatever is fine, straightforward, clean, brave and manly.

The best boys I know–the best men I know–are good at their studies or their business, fearless and stalwart, hated and feared by all that is wicked and depraved, incapable of submitting to wrongdoing, and equally incapable of being aught but tender to the weak and helpless.

Of course the effect that a thoroughly manly, thoroughly straight and upright boy can have upon the companions of his own age, and upon those who are younger, is incalculable.

If he is not thoroughly manly, then they will not respect him, and his good qualities will count for but little; while, of course, if he is mean, cruel, or wicked, then his physical strength and force of mind merely make him so much the more objectionable a member of society.

He can not do good work if he is not strong and does not try with his whole heart and soul to count in any contest; and his strength will be a curse to himself and to every one else if he does not have a thorough command over himself and over his own evil passions, and if he does not use his strength on the side of decency, justice and fair dealing.

In short, in life, as in a football game, the principle to follow is: Hit the line hard: don’t foul and don’t shirk, but hit the line hard.

Thursday, October 16, 2008

The pain of leadership

I just watched a special on the History Chanel about Abraham Lincoln. The key thing on which they focused was that he struggled his whole life with depression. He had suicidal thoughts and struggled daily with the weight of his job as president.

What strikes me, is that we often gloss over the deep struggles of our leaders and instead focus on their shining moments. We see Moses confronting Pharaoh, not Moses shepherding flocks for 40 years while he deals with his rejection and fall from power. We see David slaying Goliath rather than David in a tomb, acting like a crazy person so that he can save his own life. We see Paul preaching and writing amazing messages rather than a lonely, man who is rejected and feared by everyone spending three years alone in the wilderness.

It is good to remember that the greatest leaders are those who have struggled greatly with themselves so that when external struggles arise they are equipped to succeed.

How are you struggling with yourself? Don't worry about how that might prepare you for the future, rather enter the struggle with all your might knowing that your first, your only battle is the battle for your soul. It is in this fight that you become a tool which God can use in his work as he fights for his kingdom.

Wednesday, October 08, 2008

A little dash of awesome for you

I feel like I'm late to the game on this, but I just had the time to watch some online video that has been recommended to me. I've attached the first section below if you're interested. If you like music or science or comedy or horses or Joss Whedon then you will love this:

Monday, October 06, 2008

All Discovered Up

So we're back from Discovery Lab and boy did we discover a lot. If you're super curious you can check out the links for some more details.

We had an intense, awesome, exciting week with some godly people. All the prayers were answered. God spoke his wisdom into our lives through the community of his people empowered by his Spirit.

So here's the deal: we need more experience. We have a lot of the tools necessary to be successful church planters, and I feel that God confirmed that he has placed a church inside me. But it's not ready to come out yet. The next step is for me to work full time in ministry and to get intentional about developing the skills I need (evangelism, leadership, and preaching).

Got any leads?

More prayers will be appreciated.

Here I'm doing a great job of catching Ryan . . .

But Jessica doesn't trust me.